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Renault introduced their F-Duct in Belgium and it made wonders. Hovewer they,the F-1 people, say that they will not use their F-Ducts in Monza ,since they will use an alternate engine cover and rear wing,and will have better effects.I honestly thought when i read that ,wow i thought Monza will be the F-Duct heaven and now that is not true. Today though a Williams member stated that all that is rubbish,and F Ducts will be used.In any case, Kubica was 0.5 sec faster than Sutil,on a track where last year Force India was right in front.In Monza they were mid top 10.Kubica is a very good driver,i rank him after the likes of Hamilton,Vettel and Alonso,Schumacher(no order) and in front of Sutil for sure.Honestly i don't see Force India shining here ,while i can imagine Kubica being top 5.
I went through 4 different weather forecasts ,and all 4 of them showed 0 % of rain probability for Friday,Sat,Sunday.sunny quali and race expected.
65-35 is my estimation
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Barrichello is 7-5 against Schumacher this year in the qualis.But since they introduced their big improvements from the canadian grand prix,he is 6-0 vs Schumacher in qualis.
This track is more or less the same as Belgium,and we know that there Schumacher was slowed down a bit by Rosberg on the last lap,but looking at the 3 free practices that were 3-0 for Bari,i think i can say that Barrichello would've been faster anyway.And it is not just Barrichello in outstanding form,Hulkenberg made it too,so it is still the car.
Schumacher and Mercedes are already working heavily on the next years car i suppose.Yes other teams as well,but they are more than anyone.No parts coming as far as i know for Monza,so i see this as a 55-45 bet.
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race match bet
Kobayashi is 6-7 against alguersuari this year.However! he lost from those 7 ,6 times thorugh abandoning.But that is not the best part,the best part of it is that he is 5-0 against Alguersuari in the last races,and 6-1 in the last 7,yes you guessed that 1 is from abandon.
Monza is pretty much the same track as Spa,where good top speed is needed,and engines are pushed to the limit.Engines are the same,but the Sauber team improved a lot the aerodynamics in the 2nd half of the season.Kobayashi does excellent starts,and he had some amazing comebacks in the recent races.Top speed of the cars was pretty much the same in Belgium ,1 km/h + in favour of Alguersuari. I rate Koba as a better driver than Alguersuari ,so all this make me claim that these odds are not well settled.
I rate the chances 60-40 for Kobayashi.
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Previous 40 predictions: (note: Asian Handicap picks are half won/lost by halfing the initial stakes)
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