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Volleyball: Vojvodina (-1.5) vs. Zvezda (+1.5)


Posted by dus@n (2017-04-17 13:14 CET)

Vojvodina vs Crvena zvezda @17:30 CET

 
These odds are out of mind and result of last match where Vojvodina won 3-0. Still, the result shows almost nothing as Zvezda was leading +5 in 1st set (4-0, 5-1, 12-7) and lost it after making errors in a row. In the 2nd set, Zvezda was leading +3 and +4 and lost it once again. First player of Zvezda - opposite Blagojevic was subbed after 2nd set as he had only 36% so it was very hard to play without him as he had pretty bad day and still Zvezda was dominant in first two sets. It is very hard to expect him in such bad mood today while it is even harder to expect to see Vojvodina wingers in such good % in attack - Mehic had 69%, Kujundzic and Premovic both near 50% which is almost perfect. Before the start of the Final this was clear 50-50 for me and it stays the same so value is heavly on Zvezda side. Vojvodina has stayed without all main players from last year (in which they lost to Zvezda easily) as Minic, Vemic, Nikolic, Jovanovic all left the club so their replacements from last year are starters now, while Zvezda has stayed without Buculjevic and Okolic only while they saved main players - Blagojevic, Skrbic, Stojsavljevic, Jevtic and main fact - coach who is the best coach in the league, being in Serbian NT in coaching staff. The only advantage for Vojvodina here is home court which could mean 5%, not more, as there wont be more than 100-200 people in the hall, with 5 or 6 of them cheering for Vojvodina (they are 50-60 years old). Experience is big on Zvezda side, I would say also quality but lets say it is 50-50. This is must win for Zvezda if they dont want to go back to Belgrade with 0-2. I see this one as very tight match and Zvezda to win this one is my call here. 
 
This is comparasion according to positions: 
 
Setters:
Nedjeljko Radovic vs Nikola Petrovic - Both are playing on the most important position in the team being very young and unexperienced but both have showed they are capable of leading the team. Radovic does not have substitute so that is problem for Vojvodina, while Petrovic is starter since few matches but he has very good substitute. Comparing only these two players, there is no advantage as they are more or less same quality right now. 
 
Opposite:
Petar Premovic vs Aleksandar Blagojevic - Not hard to say Blagojevic is above Premovic. Premovic is young and talented player but he lacks many skills while Blagojevic is the best opposite in the league for years being Serbia NT player. Zvezda with Gmitrovic on the bench while Vojvodina without quality reserve opposite.
 
Receivers:
Kujundzic/Mehic vs Nejic/Stojsavljevic - Once again Vojvodina does not have any substitute as there are youngsters on the bench while Zvezda has Skrbic on the bench who was starter last year. Kujundzic and Mehic are very young players (19 and 20 years old) while Skrbic and Stojsalvjevic and Skrbic are already seniors, while Nejic is the surprise of the season as he is young player but doing great job. No advantage for any team here as they are more or less same quality but bench quality is on Zvezda side.
 
Middle-blockers:
Stankovic/Simic vs Milutinovic/ Masulovic - Small advantage to Vojvodina but Stankovic is so incosistent that sometimes he even does not play being on the court. Milutinovic is very good and experienced player, Simic being one of the Vojvodina prospects but Masulovic is doing very good job this year for Zvezda. Zvezda with Muncan on the bench whie Vojvodina without quality bench player. Tight advantage for Vojvodina but almost no.
 
Libero:
Pekovic vs Jevtic - Pekovic worse and worse player from year to year while Jevtic's form is heavily up-trend since the start of the season. He is great receiver and defender, while Pekovic also is but no advantage at all.
 
Coaches:
Osmankac vs Kobiljski - Kobiljski is the best coach in the league, Grbic's staff in Serbia NT and the best coach for years in the league, while Osmankac was staff last year to Vojvodina's head coach Kozic. So, clear advantage for Kobiljski here. 
 
So, Vojvodina has only small, tight advantage on middle-blocker position while Zvezda has advantage on opposite position. Other positions are more or less same with small advantage to Zvezda, but on coaching position Zvezda is miles above Vojvodina. 
 
All in all, odds are pretty nonsense and created according to last match which should have opened with 0-1 or 0-2 in sets for Zvezda. This is most important match in the Final and I see Zvezda as winner here on such juicy odds.
 
 

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